Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.810269 7.520843 8.309419 9.256359 10.371890 11.656073 13.263722
2025-02-02 6.014956 7.036960 8.276570 9.922754 12.103025 14.972197 19.183117
2025-02-09 5.478050 6.654243 8.168219 10.326701 13.448005 18.023485 25.751872
2025-02-16 4.982052 6.213456 7.867269 10.352747 14.200968 20.366395 32.171611
2025-02-23 4.687438 5.984811 7.795353 10.653323 15.380969 23.674828 41.912846
2025-03-02 4.266206 5.527172 7.329954 10.267347 15.345543 24.836184 47.984421
2025-03-09 3.949952 5.184875 6.989407 10.016712 15.472790 26.320532 55.790823
2025-03-16 3.713716 4.935702 6.759017 9.905937 15.817839 28.347958 66.691401
2025-03-23 3.604915 4.863853 6.790963 10.237001 17.064575 32.828381 90.201228
2025-03-30 3.374447 4.588478 6.471745 9.903094 16.900262 33.852549 102.438900
2025-04-06 3.162636 4.327760 6.154908 9.535879 16.598702 34.432873 113.892742
2025-04-13 2.975752 4.094655 5.866171 9.189465 16.283998 34.892778 125.947716
2025-04-20 2.837660 3.942637 5.721722 9.141528 16.733983 38.112622 164.557759
2025-04-27 2.823563 3.989701 5.923417 9.806267 19.074896 49.072186 326.278437
2025-05-04 2.765827 3.960035 5.987043 10.203728 20.902652 60.195963 681.204183
2025-05-11 2.661057 3.843772 5.883056 10.229345 21.742635 68.245385 1340.154445
2025-05-18 2.600343 3.797081 5.901149 10.524607 23.475761 83.139063 5571.933505
2025-05-25 2.462247 3.608822 5.638261 10.145443 23.024497 85.354979 12599.644437
2025-06-01 2.350966 3.461171 5.442207 9.899167 22.950307 90.198781 90812.508139
2025-06-08 2.264112 3.351476 5.311009 9.790303 23.314285 98.924846 NaN
2025-06-15 2.231017 3.334215 5.357308 10.115627 25.312220 125.072791 NaN
2025-06-22 2.131839 3.193944 5.150602 9.787508 24.822685 128.170441 NaN
2025-06-29 2.035573 3.054948 4.938812 9.426554 24.132634 128.586380 NaN